ESPN Computers Project Bucs To Win 9 Games
May 18th, 2022
Weak prediction.
It’s literally been 20 years since Tom Brady delivered anything less than a 10-win season for his team.
However, the data gurus over at ESPN don’t seem to give that much weight when predicting the Bucs’ record this season.
The famous ESPN football power index says the Bucs will be the ninth-best NFL team this season with 9.4 wins. The Bucs also were granted a 59 percent chance of making the playoffs and a 5 percent shot at winning the Super Bowl.
Strength of schedule is a huge component of this BSPN metric system, and the Bucs have one of the most challenging slates in the NFL. Heck, even the Bucs’ preseason schedule has three winning teams from 2021.
Regardless, this is a great example of why Joe is annoyed by most analytics. Brady teams simply do not win less than 10 games. Brady went 9-7 in 2002, and since then he’s had two 10-win regular seasons and has averaged 12 wins per season. But hey, the computer says the Bucs will win nine.
Joe’s computer says if Todd Bowles wins nine games with a healthy Brady, then Bowles is very likely to have a new job in 2024.
Source: https://www.joebucsfan.com/2022/05/espn-computers-project-bucs-to-win-9-games/